gm! Welcome to the inaugural issue of the Variant newsletter.
Every day inside Variant, we talk through the latest trends shaping crypto and tease out new mental models. Now we’ll be sending those ideas straight to your inbox. Each issue will focus on a theme we’re thinking about right now, anchored by one smart take on the topic. For Issue 1, we’re taking a critical look at web3 social media at a time when everyone is talking about the new challengers to Twitter.
Writing has always been in Variant’s DNA. That’s part of what attracted me to join the firm last month after 13 years in business journalism (12 of them covering crypto). Jesse and Li are widely followed and admired for their public thinking and idea sharing. Jesse’s January 2020 playbook on progressive decentralization (at a16z) and July 2020 treatise on the ownership economy have stood the test of time; Li’s writing is all over the web, from her personal newsletter to guest columns at Harvard Business Review and Fortune.
The rest of our investment team and strategic advisors, all crazy smart and super plugged-in, have written valuable thought leadership on everything from NFT MEV to wallet unbundling to sufficient decentralization in token design.
To commemorate the newsletter launch, we’ve commissioned an art piece by Giorgio Balbi. We feel the piece is just right for our newsletter, which will seek to peek inside the machinery of crypto systems and link the ideas that power this ecosystem. You can subscribe right here on Mirror to get it. You have until June 11 to mint!
Thanks for reading and subscribing.
—Dan Roberts, Editor in Chief
I see two main approaches to building in web3 social: asset-first or ideology-first.
The asset-first approach focuses on users' desire for profit, unlocked through digital ownership, which places money at the forefront of the platform. Financialized features allow users to spend, collect, and earn within the network.
BitClout fit squarely in the asset-first approach and enabled users to bet on the trajectory of prominent profiles through trading creator coins, creating a speculative social game at the center of the network. Lens is another example of an asset-first web3 social network, where users’ posts are instantiated as NFTs that can be collected and purchased, with the top creators earning upwards of $90,000 from collectible posts. PFP NFT communities can also be thought of as asset-first social networks: interest groups that are incepted through collecting assets. In all of these instances, users’ motivations for participating aren’t purely intrinsic, but involve, at least to some degree, the potential for financial gain. It’s like collecting stamps or baseball cards: it’s fun and enjoyable, but also, what if they could be worth something someday?
In contrast, the ideology-first approach toward building in web3 social entails appealing to users’ values and ideals. That means emphasizing characteristics enabled by blockchains, including censorship-resistance, data privacy, and portability of social graphs and content. The actual user experience may closely resemble a web2 social product, but the underlying architecture involves some portion of data being stored on-chain, and all the benefits that come with it.
My view is that web3 social networks will succeed by taking the asset-first approach, i.e. creating opportunities for profit that will appeal to users. In other words, these networks are not purely social networks, but socioeconomic networks. This approach also creates a more clearly differentiated user experience that should in theory resonate more broadly. (Income is a universal need, whereas ideals can feel abstract to many.) This also mirrors the path for wider adoption elsewhere in crypto, including in NFTs, DeFi, and even L1s: desire for financial gain bootstrapped new networks and apps and played a pivotal role in their adoption.
To be clear, leaning into an asset-first approach doesn’t mean catering only to speculators and creating a financialized game that’s easily manipulated. Social networks can be easily polluted with spam and bad actors who detract from the network, creating a negative network effect. Unlike a DeFi lending protocol where all liquidity is valuable even if it comes from users with financial motivations, in social networks the quality of content and users matters. Simply rewarding all content creation, reach, or usage is too blunt of a financial incentive, risking an environment that’s full of spam or useless content, or is downright toxic.
A successful financial game at the heart of a web3 social network should combine both intrinsic and extrinsic motivations. Stealcam, a content-sharing platform where fans earn a cut of the sale when NFTs they own are subsequently purchased for a higher price, attracted both profit-motivated traders who engaged in the hot potato game of trading images back and forth, but also appealed to true fans who wanted to keep the content their favorite creators had made as collectibles.
Taking an asset-first approach will also allow networks to construct novel social graphs. Social networks are constructed around distinct social graphs, which form the basis of their network effects: Facebook got its start by leveraging your real-world friend / college graph; LinkedIn mapped out your professional connections; and TikTok’s social graph is based on your interests, inferred from your behaviors on the app. An asset-based social network can pioneer and popularize an ownership graph, wherein users connect based on shared onchain ownership. This goes beyond simply clustering users into PFP communities, which is the primitive version of this idea that we’ve already seen. As the density of users’ ownership history grows onchain, over time, this ownership graph can richly reflect users’ interests, supplementing users’ self-professed interests or real-world contacts.
In sum, there is a unique window of opportunity right now to build web3 social networks. Existing web2 social companies like Twitter and TikTok are facing upheaval, and users are hungry for something new.
Our vision for web3 social networks is rooted in leveraging the distinct capabilities of crypto to offer a differentiated user experience that rewards continued usage.
More fresh posts on the Variant site.
Mason Nystrom: SocialFi: A Blank Canvas for Web3 Social Apps
The winning web3 social platforms will leverage financialization as a core component of the user experience.
Li Jin: Web3 Social Media Under the Lens
On decentralized social protocols like Lens, more of the value accrues to content creators.
Tina Dai and Simon Hudson: Generative Art Will Be a Multiplayer Exercise in Meaning-Making
Where human and machine creation converge, a multiplayer ecosystem will emerge to shape a collective meaning-making experience on crypto rails.
Jesse Walden: Libraries vs Networks
A new framework for thinking about the open, stateful networks crypto supports.
Alana Levin: The NFT MEV landscape
A clinical and crucial look at the opportunities for MEV in the NFT market today.
We welcome your input and replies on Twitter.
Li is wondering how we can move NFTs out of the investment mentality and into patronage:
Mason is thinking about the growth of compressed NFTs:
Geoff wants to know more about dark pools and DEXs focused on preserving privacy, after he attended IFCA in Croatia last week:
Medha is asking whether we might ever reach a point where chains are completely fungible and it won’t matter which chain a token or NFT is built on:
Tina is wondering how NFT experiences can evolve beyond buying and selling:
Derek wants to see DeFi protocols become truly autonomous:
Alana is thinking about the path toward decentralized sequencers.
See you next issue.
Disclaimer: This post is for general information purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any investment and should not be used in the evaluation of the merits of making any investment decision. It should not be relied upon for accounting, legal or tax advice or investment recommendations. You should consult your own advisers as to legal, business, tax, and other related matters concerning any investment. Certain information contained in here has been obtained from third-party sources, including from portfolio companies of funds managed by Variant. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, Variant has not independently verified such information. Variant makes no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation. This post reflects the current opinions of the authors and is not made on behalf of Variant or its Clients and does not necessarily reflect the opinions of Variant, its General Partners, its affiliates, advisors or individuals associated with Variant. The opinions reflected herein are subject to change without being updated.